Система моніторингу міграційної мобільності молоді у проекції збереження людського потенціалу: концептуально-методична емпірика

Abstract

The paper argues that an integrated approach to form a methodology for analyzing the impact of migration on socio-economic development should consider the complexity and dynamism of migration and causal impact on economic processes. Methodology of assessing the impact of migration processes on the socio-economic development of the country based on the ‘reaction-result’ approach is based on the following phasedization: determining the level of intensity of external migration of the population using the coefficients of general and labour migration, assessing the causality (causality) of population migration and socio-economic development of the country (in the form of an integral coefficient); population migration and parameters of socio-economic development of the country; modeling the volume of potential migration to the largest recipient countries of human resources. Systematization of developments in the field of analytical migrationology made it possible to identify methodological tools for assessing the impact of migration, the formation and development of migration vectors on socio-economic development(relative economic productivity between donor countries and recipient ones; differentiation in economic growth; divergence of the wage system; labour intensity of the economy; labour surplus/surplus; investment capacity of research and development). The developed methodological approach to assessing the impact of young migration mobility on socio-economic development and human potential provides for the analysis of internal and external parameters of convergence-divergence of economic growth of countries. Based on the systematization of methodological approaches to analyzing the impact of migration mobility on the socio-economic development of the territory, it was established that the effectiveness of the study has a causal relationship with migration monitoring in terms of age and other criteria. The formation of a system for monitoring the impact of migration mobility of young people on human potential and economic growth of the donor country of human resources involvesfive key stages: strategic (determining the purpose of the study, formulating a hypothesis regarding the influence of the ejection / attraction environment on migration processes), compositional (justification of the structural elements of the social and economic environment model for the development of migration processes), qualitative assessment (selection of indicators for the qualitative impact on the resulting component of the conditions of the development of migration processes), empirical (calculation of the empirical indicator of the level of pushing the population abroad and attracting immigrants to the country of destination) and econometric (modelling the influence of the development conditions on migration; determining critical and optimal migration processes).