Метод ризик-аналізу для прогнозування технічного стану електрообладнання трансформаторних підстанцій

Abstract

In the work it is shown that today there is a significant reduction of the efficiency of the system of planned and preventive repair of electric equipment of electric power systems due to imperfection of planning and organization of repair works, reduction of maintenance costs, lack of quality spare. Therefore, the issue of development and introduction of modern methods and methods for increasing the efficiency of the system of internal control and risk management of electrical equipment electrical energy systems becomes actual. Taking into account the risk management process, the method of risk analysis and forecasting of the technical condition of electrical equipment of transformer substations is proposed. The functional strategy of risk management for the further improvement of the operation of electrical equipment in order to improve the quality and efficiency of the maintenance and repair system based on the identification of risk areas and their assessment, prevention of risks through the forecasting and evaluation of the technical state of electrical equipment for decision making.