Динаміка кількості полігонів твердих побутових відходів в Україні, які не відповідають нормам

Abstract

Only during 1999―2014 in Ukraine the area of overloaded and more than 3.1 times those municipal solid waste landfills and dumps that do not meet environmental safety standards increased almost 2 times. Therefore, the definition of regres-sion dependence, which describes the dynamics of the number of landfills in Ukraine that do not meet the standards for solving the problem of municipal solid waste management is an urgent scientific and technical task. The aim of the study is to determine the dependence by regression analysis, which describes the dynamics of the number of municipal solid waste landfills in Ukraine that do not meet the standards for solving the problem of municipal solid waste management. The study used the method of regression analysis of the results of one-factor experiments and other pair dependencies with the choice of a more adequate type of function from the 16 most common options by the criterion of maximum correlation coefficient. The regression was performed on the basis of linearizing transformations, which allow to reduce the nonlinear dependence to the linear one. The coefficients of the regression equation were determined by the method of least squares with the help of the developed computer program "RegAnaliz", which is protected by a copyright registration certificate for the work. Ade-quate regression dependence is obtained, which describes the dynamics of the number of municipal solid waste landfills in Ukraine that do not meet the standards. A graphical dependence is constructed, which describes the dynamics of the num-ber of municipal solid waste landfills in Ukraine that do not meet the standards and allows to clearly illustrate this dynamics, to show sufficient convergence of theoretical and actual results. It is established that in Ukraine the number of landfills for non-compliant municipal solid waste in 2016―2020 decreased by hyperbolic dependence. It is projected that by 2030 the number of landfills in Ukraine that do not meet the standards, at the current rate of decline, will be reduced to 759 units.