Економетричне моделювання чинників впливу на рівень ВВП України

Abstract

The report presents the results of econometric modeling of the impact of exports, imports and inflation on Ukraine's GDP level. The method of correlation-regression analysis was used to assess the dependence of macroeconomic indicators. It was established that exports and imports have a positive effect on GDP: a 1% increase in exports causes an increase in GDP by 0.97%, and imports by 0.91%. Instead, the dependence of GDP on the inflation index is statistically insignificant due to the policy of inflation targeting. The obtained results can be used to develop effective economic strategies aimed at ensuring stable economic growth of Ukraine.